{"id":14515,"date":"2018-04-16T12:41:25","date_gmt":"2018-04-16T12:41:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/choose-forex.com\/?p=14515"},"modified":"2018-04-16T12:41:25","modified_gmt":"2018-04-16T12:41:25","slug":"nhung-ke-hoach-phuc-hoi-cua-argentina-co-the-tro-nen-hon-loan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/choose-forex.com\/vi\/chua-duoc-phan-loai\/nhung-ke-hoach-phuc-hoi-cua-argentina-co-the-tro-nen-hon-loan\/","title":{"rendered":"Nh\u1eefng k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a Argentina c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf n\u00ean h\u1ed7n lo\u1ea1n"},"content":{"rendered":"
Thu\u1eadt ng\u1eef “d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf” h\u00e0m \u00fd r\u1eb1ng d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 \u0111ang n\u1eafm gi\u1eef m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng vi\u1ec7c v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111ang t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch t\u00edch c\u1ef1c. D\u00e2n s\u1ed1 “kh\u00f4ng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng”, m\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi qu\u00e1 tr\u1ebb ho\u1eb7c \u0111ang h\u1ecdc; n\u00f3 c\u0169ng bao g\u1ed3m ng\u01b0\u1eddi cao tu\u1ed5i v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m, ho\u1eb7c ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi v\u00f4 c\u00f9ng gi\u00e0u c\u00f3.<\/strong> T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ec9 li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng.<\/p>\n M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p th\u1ea5p nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 tin vui. D\u00f9 60.000 ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 t\u00ecm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m trong n\u0103m qua, nh\u01b0ng ch\u1ec9 1\/5 d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 s\u1ed1ng \u1edf khu v\u1ef1c th\u00e0nh th\u1ecb.<\/strong> G\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng m\u1edf c\u1eeda cho c\u00e1c th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea b\u00e1o c\u00e1o vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thao t\u00fang \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e0m cho ch\u00fang t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf. B\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u0111\u00e3 cho th\u1ea5y kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng gi\u1eefa th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 Buenos Aires v\u00e0 th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 Great Buenos Aires. T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh \u1edf v\u00f9ng ngo\u1ea1i \u00f4 cho th\u1ea5y t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p t\u0103ng t\u1eeb 6,9% l\u00ean 10,2% trong n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i. T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p cao c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn \u1edf Patagonia, Chubut, Comodoro Rivadavia v\u00e0 Rawson-Trelew.<\/strong> Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a phe \u0111\u1ed1i l\u1eadp v\u00e0 c\u00e1c hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i n\u1ebfu cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng kinh t\u1ebf ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c x\u1ea5u \u0111i.<\/p>\n D\u1eef li\u1ec7u g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u1ea5t cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m trong ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kinh t\u1ebf. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u ng\u00e0nh th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf nh\u00ecn chung l\u00e0 t\u00edch c\u1ef1c nh\u01b0ng s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i trong Th\u00e1ng 1 v\u00e0 th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c tr\u1ea3 l\u00e3i. Th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n v\u00e3ng lai c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m h\u1ecfng nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Macri \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. M\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u0111e d\u1ecda kh\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang b\u1ecb rung l\u1eafc c\u1ee7a Argentina l\u00e0 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t, s\u1ebd l\u00e0m t\u0103ng chi ti\u00eau ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch. T\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng n\u00e0y s\u1ebd bu\u1ed9c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 ph\u1ea3i ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c y\u00eau c\u1ea7u t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i.<\/strong><\/p>\n B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c, n\u0103m nay kinh t\u1ebf d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd t\u0103ng do ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh. M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t cao v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng. D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o n\u0103m nay cho th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng n\u00f3 s\u1ebd t\u0103ng 2.8%, v\u00e0 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o cho n\u0103m 2019 cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ebfn 3.1%.<\/a><\/p>\n H\u1ea1n h\u00e1n \u0111\u00e3 g\u00e2y ra m\u1ed9t c\u00fa s\u1ed1c l\u1edbn cho n\u01b0\u1edbc xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u1eadu n\u00e0nh v\u00e0 ng\u00f4 l\u1edbn th\u1ee9 ba th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y, t\u1ea5t nhi\u00ean, ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 g\u00e2y ra nhi\u1ec1u lo ng\u1ea1i. Thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 g\u00e2y ra m\u1ea5t m\u00e1t tinh th\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t m\u00e0 c\u00f2n m\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn s\u1ebd \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m.<\/strong> \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Achentina, n\u01a1i m\u00e0 n\u1ec1n n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p l\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n ph\u00e1t sinh ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng th\u1ea3m ho\u1ea1 n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7. N\u00f4ng d\u00e2n \u0111o\u00e1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1ee5 m\u00f9a t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t trong m\u01b0\u1eddi n\u0103m qua v\u00e0 c\u0169ng l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf. L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t cao v\u00e0 th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd b\u1ecb rung chuy\u1ec3n nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n do s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u v\u00e0 v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i v\u00e0 Achentina v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c m\u1ea5t s\u1ee9c mua.<\/strong><\/p>\n T\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng n\u1ea3n l\u00f2ng \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y ph\u1ea3i chuy\u1ec3n t\u1ea3i k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. H\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a h\u1ea1n h\u00e1n c\u0169ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p th\u1ecbt v\u00e0 s\u1eefa, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c x\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1ee9c \u0103n cho v\u1eadt nu\u00f4i, v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ed9, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n. Vi\u1ec7c ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 kh\u00ed s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m trong n\u0103m nay, v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t tri\u1ec7u xe t\u1ea3i s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i 1 t\u1ef7 USD.<\/strong> Argentina \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi h\u1ea1n h\u00e1n trong qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9, v\u00e0 n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed5 l\u1ed7i cho ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 v\u00ec kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0a ra c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u00fap ng\u00e0nh n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p. Macri \u0111\u00e3 th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o vi\u1ec7c gi\u1ea3m n\u1ee3 cho nh\u1eefng n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n h\u00e1n, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng v\u00e0 kho\u1ea3n vay c\u00f3 th\u1eddi gian \u00e2n h\u1ea1n l\u00e2u h\u01a1n. Nh\u01b0ng n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n mu\u1ed1n nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n – h\u1ecd \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi b\u1ea3o hi\u1ec3m s\u1ebd b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 h\u1ecd khi nh\u1eefng th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m kh\u00f4ng thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i \u0111\u00f3 l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i.<\/strong><\/p>\n M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t v\u1edbi h\u1ea1n h\u00e1n v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng b\u1ea5t tr\u1eafc v\u00e0 nh\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec3m kh\u00e1c, Argentina \u0111ang tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t ng\u00f4i sao \u0111ang l\u00ean \u1edf khu v\u1ef1c Nam M\u1ef9. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 t\u0103ng 77% trong n\u0103m qua do m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t c\u00e1c c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e3 bi\u1ebfn n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Argentina th\u00e0nh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ef1 do.<\/strong> S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng trong n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb lu m\u1edd b\u1edfi c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 nh\u1ecf h\u01a1n. Khi Macri nh\u1eadm ch\u1ee9c, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang r\u01a1i v\u00e0o suy tho\u00e1i, nh\u01b0ng MERVAL\u0111\u00e3 nh\u1ea3y v\u00e0o k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch c\u1ea3i t\u1ed5 kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Macri. \u0110\u00e0o s\u00e2u v\u00e0o c\u00e1c gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m v\u00e0 x\u0103ng d\u1ea7u, v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft c\u00e1c tranh ch\u1ea5p qu\u1ef9 ph\u00f2ng h\u1ed9 n\u0103m 2016 c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 thu h\u00fat c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c b\u00ean cho vay n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i.<\/a> IMF \u0111ang c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u thay \u0111\u1ed5i v\u1ec1 c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u cho \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y nh\u01b0 d\u1ef1 lu\u1eadt c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch thu\u1ebf m\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m thu\u1ebf thu nh\u1eadp v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p an sinh x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i. \u0110\u1ed5i l\u1ea1i, IMF mong ch\u1edd m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 tham nh\u0169ng th\u1ea5p v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng.<\/strong> V\u1edbi nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i n\u00e0y, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 mong \u0111\u1ee3i m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ti\u1ebfn b\u1ed9 v\u00e0 n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t l\u00e2u d\u00e0i. C\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea3m nh\u1eadn \u1edf t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c trong x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i n\u1ebfu ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n mu\u1ed1n tho\u00e1t ngh\u00e8o v\u00e0 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1eb3ng trong c\u00f4ng vi\u1ec7c v\u00e0 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cu\u1ed9c s\u1ed1ng n\u00f3i chung (\u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 trong s\u1ed1 c\u00e1c nh\u00f3m d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng).<\/p>\n Ngo\u00e0i ra, s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t cho th\u1ea5y th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n Argentina \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u0111a d\u1ea1ng h\u01a1n – c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh, d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed, c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng v\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty ti\u1ec7n \u00edch \u0111ang \u0111\u1ebfn.<\/strong> M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 Argentina \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ee9ng minh \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1edf n\u00ean \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng ph\u1ea1m vi c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0. \u0110i\u1ec1u quan tr\u1ecdng l\u00e0 n\u00f3 c\u00f3 ch\u1ed7 \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n.<\/p>\n
\nM\u1eb7c d\u00f9 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p \u1edf Argentina gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9, c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia cho r\u1eb1ng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra v\u00ec nh\u1eefng l\u00fd do sai l\u1ea7m v\u00e0 v\u1eabn c\u00f2n s\u1edbm \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u00fac m\u1eebng.<\/a> S\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb 9,3% xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 8,7% trong qu\u00fd II n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng x\u1ea3y ra do vi\u1ec7c t\u1ea1o ra vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m.<\/strong> S\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a Argentina \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 n\u00e0y v\u00ec n\u00f3 cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf. Nh\u01b0ng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a g\u00ec?<\/p>\nN\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Argentina n\u0103m 2018<\/strong><\/h2>\n
<\/h2>\nNg\u01b0\u1eddi n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n Argentinia b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 b\u1edfi h\u1ea1n h\u00e1n<\/strong><\/h2>\n
<\/h2>\nS\u1ef1 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi<\/strong><\/h2>\n